Real Madrid will host Villarreal at the Santiago Bernabeu on Saturday, 10 October, in their next La Liga fixture, with the home side expected to claim a narrow victory.
Real Madrid are fourth in the table after seven matches, having collected 15 points. They have won five games and lost two, without recording a draw this season. Their goal difference is +10, with 18 goals scored and eight conceded.
Villarreal sit 10th with eight points from their opening seven matches. They have recorded two wins and two draws, while suffering three defeats. The club has scored 13 goals and conceded 12, giving them a goal difference of +1.
Head-to-head record
Real Madrid have the stronger record in this fixture. They have won 20 of the 36 previous meetings with Villarreal, a win rate of 55.6%. Villarreal have beaten Real Madrid five times, equivalent to 13.8% of their matches, while the remaining 11 encounters ended level.
The most recent meeting took place on 25 January 2026, when Real Madrid won 2-0. The Madrid club are also unbeaten against Villarreal in their last five matches and hold the overall advantage in the head-to-head record.
Real Madrid have suffered two defeats in their seven league games this season. Villarreal have lost three of their seven matches, meaning 43% of their fixtures have ended in defeat.
Prediction
The home side’s record against Villarreal, combined with the advantage of playing at the Santiago Bernabeu, makes Real Madrid the expected winners. However, the visitors’ results and the anticipated closeness of the contest point towards a narrow margin rather than a comfortable victory.
The predicted final score is Real Madrid 2-1 Villarreal.
